Tuesday, November 06, 2012

vote for Mitt (or Barack)

11/29/12 - Mitt Romney makes it to the White House

11/17/12 - GOP needs to get with the times

11/10/12 - Yes, Barack Obama born in Kenya.  And Mitt Romney too!

11/10/12 - Obama wins Florida too

It's not just the economy.  It's the demographics -- the changing face of America.

Nonwhites made up 28 percent of the electorate this year, compared with 20 percent in 2000. Much of that growth is coming from Hispanics.

The trend has worked to the advantage of President Barack Obama two elections in a row now and is not lost on Republicans poring over the details of Tuesday's results.

Obama captured a commanding 80 percent of the growing ranks of nonwhite voters in 2012, just as he did in 2008.

Republican Mitt Romney couldn't win even though he dominated among white men and outperformed 2008 nominee John McCain with that group. It's an ever-shrinking slice of the electorate and of America writ large.

White men made up 34 percent of the electorate this year, down from 46 percent in 1972.

11/7/12 - Obama's victory speech
Romney's concession speech

Final Results:
National: 303 to 206 electoral votes, 60,482,607 to 57,688,453 popular votes
Ohio: 2,686,609 (50%) to 2,586,467 (48%)
Virginia: 1,885,188 (51%) to 1,772,304 (48%)
Not quite final, they're still counting in Florida, but Obama leads 50% to 49% with 97% in.

I sure see a lot of red states on the map though.  I count 24 red, 26 blue, 1 gray.  DC is counted.  Obama took the west coast, the northeast, and the Great Lakes area.  Romney pretty much took the rest: The mid-west, the south.

Romney won in a landslide if you go by land mass.  This guy says 80%.  Well, for one, Alaska is the largest state at 663,300 square miles.  Texas is second at 268,800 square miles (and the second most populous).  California is the third largest state at 163,700 square miles (and the most populous).  And believe or not, the fourth largest state is Montana at 147,042 square miles.  Obama took California, Romney the other three.

The four largest states by population are California (37.7 million), Texas (25.7 million), New York (19.5 million), Florida (19.1 million).

By electoral college votes, it's California (55), Texas (38), New York (29), Florida (29), Alaska (3), Montana (3)

What about population density?  DC tops the list.  Then New Jersey, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Massachusetts, Guam, Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York, Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, California, Illinois, Hawaii, Virginia, North Carolina (which is the first red state I see).  The least dense are Alaska, Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, New Mexico (which is the first blue state I see going from the bottom).  (In other words, the dense went to Obama.)

11/6/12 - FoxNews says it could either way.

Obama would need to win Pennsylvania, Michican, Wisconsin, Ohio.  Then either Nevada or Iowa.
Intrade has every state as solidly Obama except for Iowa.

Romney would need to win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia.  Then Ohio and Colorado.

Intrade has Florida leaning Romney, North Carolina solidly Romney, Virginia leaning Obama (60% Obama), Ohio solid Obama (73.3%, though it was leaning earlier), Colorado tossup (53.9% Obama).  Wait now Virginia is a tossup too.

If Romney loses Ohio, he can still win if he takes Wisconsin and Colorado plus one of New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada.  Wisconsin 75.1% Obama.  Colorado 54.0% Obama. New Hampshire 79.0 Obama. Iowa 74.0% Obama. Nevada 85.0% Obama.

So it's an uphill battle for Romney.  According to intrade anyway.

How accurate is intrade?  90%+ according to somebody.  They had Florida for Bush in 2004, when others had Florida for Kerry.

11/6/12 - Election day!  Intrade says Obama 69.4%, Romney 30.8%.
That mirrors the race in Ohio: Obama 69.0%, Romney 32.0%.
Florida: Obama 25.5%, Romney 74.6%
Pennsylvania: Obama 84.0%, Romney 16.1%.
Hawaii: Obama 97.5%, Romney 10.0% (I assume that's highest for Obama)
Nope, California has Obama 98.9%, Romney 2.0%.
Washington has it 99.7% to 5.0%.
Texas has Romney 98.9% to 2.0%
Oklahoma has 97.0% to 0.1%.

In the electoral solid votes: it's Obama 253, Romney 235.  They have 31 votes leaning Obama and 19 as tossups.  The tossup states are IA (6) and VA (13).  The Obama leaning states are CO (9), OH (18), NH (4).  WAIT, as I write this, CO has become a tossup.  (Exciting eh?)

So if Romney takes the tossups, that's 28 votes bringing his total to 263.  And if he takes NH, that's 267.  He's still short.  Sure looks OH is the difference maker.

WAIT.  Ohio has just gone solid for Obama.  That puts Obama at 271 in sold votes.
WAIT.  Ohio has gone back to leaning, putting Obama back at 253.
1:47PM: Now only one tossup state: VA.  IA has gone leaning Obama.  So that puts Obama at ... WAIT!  OH has gone solid (70.1%).  Obama at 275.  Stay tuned.
1:50PM VA has gone leaning Obama.  Now no tossup states with CO, IA, VA leaning Obama.  I wonder if Obama voters are gaming the system?
1:55PM VA has gone back to tossup.  CO, IA, OH leaning Obama.
4:10PM VA now leaning Romney (63.0 to 40.0). CO tossup.  IA and OH solid Obama.  The score is now Obama 281, Romney 248.  Romney needs CO which will take him to 257.  Then 13 more.  Ohio would do it.
4:17PM.  CO now leaning Obama at 60%.  FL now a tossup (52.5% Romney).
4:25PM.  Looks bad for Romney.  FL is now leaning Obama (64.0%).  The solid vote is now Obama 281, Romney 206.  Odds are now Obama 91.0%, Romney 6.0%.  Ohio is now 89.9% Obama.  Colorado is now solidly Obama too at 80.0%.  If Romney loses FL, it's over.  FoxNews still thinks Romney will win Florida.  Some of them anyway.
4:46PM.  Obama up to 93.3%, Romney 5.6%. Obama is up to 319 solid votes.  Boehner is gloating about the House retaining the Republican majority.  Florida 85.0% Obama.  Colorado 89.5%.  Ohio 94.1%.
4:53PM.  Scott Brown loses in Massachusetts.  So the Democrats pick up a Senate seat and looks to retain their majority.
4:56PM.  Liz Cheney on Fox still waiting on FL, VA, OH.  The odds for the Republicans are now 11.9%, 50.0% (tossup), 9.0%.  Says the MA senator-to-be Elizabeth Warren lied about being of Cherokee ancestry.  Or was that Tucker Carlson?  And who's this Kirsten Powers? A liberal.  Palin still blasting Obama.  Van Sausteren says no mandate.  Palin can't believe people think it's OK to run up more debt (in effect calling them stupid).
5:17PM.  Up next: Karl Rove. Obama up to 94.9%.  Down to 94.7%.  Down to 94.1%.  Down to 93.9%. Here's Rove.  Says the momentum is for Romney in Ohio.  We'll see if he knows better than intrade.  Ohio odds?  13.1% Romney.  Still holding out the 3-2-1 plan.  Ohio (up to 14%), Virginia (45%), Florida (9%).  Which calculates to a 0.6% chance.  And he still has to take one more state.
5:28PM.  Solid vote is now Obama 319, Romney 206.  Odds for Obama down to 92.2%.
5:36PM.  Peggy Noonan is now on who predicted a Romney victory.  Who's Nate Silver?  (a statistician).
5:39PM.  Robert Gibbs (Obama campaign adviser) is on.  Saying it looks pretty good now for his side.
5:41PM.  Fox now calling Colorado too close to call.  Intrade has it 90.0% Obama, 9.8% Romney.
5:43PM.  Solid vote is now Obama 332, Romney 206 with no leaning states.  Virginia has gone solid blue,  72.5% Obama.  Obama odds however have slipped to 92.1%.
5:55PM.  Florida 7.9%.  Ohio 5.0%.  Virgina 17.0% (though Romney leading 50% to 49% in votes).  Fox calling it very close.  CNN also says too close to call.  Romney is leading in the popular vote 50% to 48%.  Looking at cnn.com, Ohio 50% to 48% Obama.  Florida 50% to 49% Romney.  Virginia 50% to 49% Romney.  Why is intrade so off?
So say Romney takes Ohio, Florida, Virginia.  That gives him 18+29+13=60 electoral votes, taking Romney up to 266.
6:11PM.  What about Brit Hume?  Said Obama is in the race because people think of him as a hero and a historic figure.  [How else to explain why he isn't getting wiped out due to high unemployment and the monstrous national debt?]
6:17PM.  FoxNews is saying the Obama war room is saying it's over.  Fox News projects Ohio goes to Obama and wins re-election.  So much for Karl Rove and staying up all night.  Fox News is blaming the negative campaign of the Democrats.
6:24PM.  Analysis on FoxNews.  Celebration on CNN.  Don't know how they could project a Obama victory in Ohio when it's tied 49% to 49% though.  Hey it's not over.  intrade has Obama only at 99.6%.
6:27PM.  A divided country.  Apparently Romney will lose the election despite winning the popular vote.
6:41PM.  Wait a minute.  Romney campaign not conceding Ohio.  CNN now has the results at 2,248,065 to 2,246,541 for Obama with 77% of the votes in.  49% to 49%.  That's close.  In Florida it's 50% to 49% Obama with 91% of the votes in.  In Virginia, it's 50% to 49% with 85% in.

Final Gallup poll had Romney ahead 49% to 48%.  They may have been right.

11/4/12 - Updated Intrade odds: Obama down to 64.8%, Romney up to 35.2%

11/3/12 - Republican campaign defends critical ads criticized by Democrats (and Chrysler and General Motors) (and so on).

Colin Powell endorses Obama

The Whoppers of 2012 (final edition)

11/2/12 - Fox & Friends questions NBC's Hurricane Sandy: Coming Together telethon (will Kanye West appear?)

11/2/12 - Polls favor Romney (according to Karl Rove)

What does RealClearPolitics now say?
RCP National Average: Obama 47.5, Romney 47.2
Looking at the 10 recent polls: Obama leads 5, Romney leads 2, with 3 ties
Intrade Odds: Obama 66.9, Romney 33.3 (that adds up to 100.2)

In the electoral college, it's Obama/Biden 201, Romney/Ryan 191, Toss Ups 146 (so that's really close).
Tossing out the toss-ups, it's Obama/Biden 290, Romney/Ryan 248
Take away Ohio's 18 votes and it's Obama/Biden 272, Romney/Ryan 266
Can Romney win without Ohio?  (Will Axelrod shave his mustache?)

What if it's a tie?  Romney-Biden! (highly unlikely)

What?  Why is Sally Kohn still on foxnews.com?

What about this slippery slope commercial? (more comments on Thomas Peterffy).  Wow, interactive brokers only charges .005 (a half-cent per share) commission with a minimum of $1.00 per trade.  Minimum cash or equity deposit of $10,000 ($5000 for IRA).

11/2/12 - My Vision For America: Mitt Romney, Barack Obama (thank goodness for the helpful editor's notes)

[10/31/12 E.J. Dionne] The right wing has lost the election of 2012.

The evidence for this is overwhelming, yet it is the year’s best-kept secret. Mitt Romney would not be throwing virtually all of his past positions overboard if he thought the nation were ready to endorse the full-throated conservatism he embraced to win the Republican nomination.

The right is going along because its partisans know Romney has no other option. This, too, is an acknowledgment of defeat, a recognition that the grand ideological experiment heralded by the rise of the tea party has gained no traction.

10/29/12 - Romney takes lead in Ohio (according to Fox News)

RealClearPolitics reports 10 polls for Ohio, Romney is leading in 1, Obama is leading 7, with 2 ties.

10/25/12 - Presidential performance on the economy (a limited perspective).  Among the 19 presidents since 1900, Obama ranks #4 in stock market performance, #1 in growth of corporate profit growth (largely due to W's #18 rank), #11 in GDP growth per capita, #8 in inflation (assuming more inflation is bad, but probably avoiding the extremes is bad so the middle would be good), #9 in unemployment (0% change in unemployment rate, W is #16 but was much better than Hoover, Wilson, T. Roosevelt).

So it doesn't look too bad.  But the GOP says Obama should have done better, like Reagan.  How does Reagan rate?  #7, #9, #5, #14, #5.  So he beats Obama in unemployment, but not in the other four categories.

10/25/12 - Surprise.  Romney now leads Obama among women

10/24/12 (posted 2/24/15): Equal pay for women

10/23/12 - Front page news: Bayonets still in use

More Fox News headlines:
Chris Matthews says they hate Obama more than Al Queda
Professor Drew Weston calls Fox News listeners ignorant

No wonder Fox News is popular (and polarizing).

10/23/12 - I previously (see 10/12/12) looked at the foxnews poll on who won the VP debate (it was Ryan 91%, Biden 9%).  Now I see they have a poll on who won the final presidential debate.  WTH, I'll vote for Romney.  Let's see if foxnews readers agree.  WTF!  They have Obama 53.78% Romney 46.22%.  Something's gotta be wrong there.

Let's look at some previous results:
Second Presidential Debate: Obama 53.32% Romney 46.68%
Vice Presidential Debate: Biden 33865 (10.52%)  Ryan 287778 (89.48%)
Presidential Debate: Obama 16903 (6.32%) Romney 250437 (93.68%)

It must be some Obama supporter figuring out how to auto-vote or something.  Interesting that I see they have the number of votes cast in the oldest two results.  But not in the latter two.  Maybe they're filtering out duplicate votes?  Anyway, they state "this is not a scientfic poll".

Yep, I just entered two votes for Romney and two votes for Obama.  And it took them.  So apparently you can vote as many times as you want.  Kind of like American Idol.

10/22/12 - Donald Trump will have a big Obama announcement (stay tuned) / Trump's announcement

10/22/12 - Third presidential debate / transcriptpolitifact

10/18/12 - Paul Ryan washes dishes (so what if they were clean?  wait! some were dirty)

Mitt Romney, garbage man

10/18/12 - Billy Graham organization removes Mormonism from their list of cults

Pat Robertson endorses Mitt Romney

10/18/12 - Romney takes six point lead in Gallup poll, err make that seven (other polls are closer)

10/18/12 - Jerry Coffee on Obama (letters)

10/17/12 - binders full of women

10/17/12 - David Stockman on Romney.  (On the one hand, he was Ronald Reagan's budget director.  On the other hand, he's writing for thedailybeast.)

Stockman said Obama should be pushing for tax increases for everybody

How David Stockman became Democrats' Favorite Reaganite

10/16/12 - debate #2 / fact check, politifact, factcheck.org, cbs

10/13/12 - Romney campaign slams Obama administration on China trade policies

10/12/12 - looking at this article, I saw a poll on who won the vice-presidential debate.  It was Biden 8.78%, Ryan 91.22%.  The poll is on the fox news website.  At least it states "this is not a scientific poll."

This report called it a draw.  Hey I voted for Biden.  Now he's up to 8.79%!  So far, 131,681 votes cast.  Hey it let me vote again.  Votes up to 131,698.  Biden still at 8.79%.

This report says Ryan won 48-44 (cnn), Ryan 54-46 (Yahoo).

But CBS had it Biden 50-31.

How about the presidential debate?  Obama 5.17%, Romney 94.83%.  (So Biden did much better than the President.)

10/11/12 - VP debate / fact check, politifact, factcheck.org, SNL

10/10/12 - Obama and Romney on the issues

10/8/12 - Romney takes the lead, odds still favor Obama in electoral vote (but dropping)

10/8/12 - CNN fact check
job creation vs. unemployment
green energy
would repeal of ObamaCare hike senior's drug costs?
is Donald Trump a small business?
oil and natural gas production under Obama

10/7/12 - The Rumble in the air-conditioned auditorium (best moments)

10/4/12 - During the first of three debates between the two presidential candidates, Romney himself appeared to have made a few choices, less than five weeks before the November 6 election.

On issues from taxes to Medicare to financial regulations, the former Massachusetts governor steered a more moderate course than he did while wooing conservatives during the Republican primaries this year, even embracing parts of Obama's record that have been targets for conservative Republicans.

"We obviously are going to have to adjust for the fact of Mitt Romney's dishonesty," senior advisor David Plouffe said. "It's hard to remember a time in American politics when you have someone who is a major nominee for the presidency being that fundamentally dishonest about core parts of his campaign platform."

10/3/12 - Romney will kill PBS (Big Bird), ObamaCare / Sesame Workshop responds

10/3/12 - Obama, Romney sit down with Oprah (for O Magazine)

10/3/12 - Paul Ryan looks to Ayn Rand for monetary policy (but now rejects her philosophy).

10/3/12 - Debate #1 - what to watch for, CNN, Reuters, transcriptGOPPolitiFact, FactCheck, Fact Check,

10/3/12 - Questions we want answered in the debate

9/25/12 - “I’m going to start off with something that was really troubling that occurred last night. Did you guys watch that Packer game last night? I mean give me a break!” Ryan complained. “It is time to get the real refs.”

Ryan then drew a parallel between NFL’s struggle with replacement referees and President Obama’s economic job performance during his term in the White House.

“It reminds me of President Obama and the economy. If you can’t get it right, it’s time to get out. I half-think that these refs work part-time for the Obama administration and the Budget Office,” Ryan said.

9/18/12 - Trump to Obama, you're fired!

9/18/12 - Romney says 47% of Americans believe they are victims who believe that the government has a responsiblity to care for them.  [David Brooks commentary, NYTimes editorial, Hitler, Linda Lingle]

Romney would help the people who don't vote for him.  [10/5/12] Romney now says he was completely wrong

9/15/12 - Obama Revealed (transcript) / Romney Revealed (video, transcript)

9/6/12 - DNC final day
Barack Obama: the choice you face (politifact, factcheck)
Joe Biden: Osama Bin Laden is dead, General Motors is alive
John Kerry: ask Osama Bin Laden if he's better off

9/6/12 - Clinton's speech hits the marks (factcheck)

Day 2 Convention canards

Did Obama save the auto industry? (It was Bush too.)

Jennifer Granholm:  in Romney's world the cars get the elevator and the workers get the shaft!

9/5/12 - Romney would cut taxes for the rich and raise taxes for the middle [Generally speaking, Romney’s plan would lower tax rates for everyone while getting rid of exemptions, deductions and loopholes.]

[9/10/12] Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney cited a group of economic studies to show that his tax-cut plan won’t increase the U.S. budget deficit or shift the tax burden to middle-income taxpayers. Yet Romney won’t provide specifics on what he would cut, and the analysts he cites have had to create their own assumptions. / US News

Five ways Obama and Romney differ on taxes / politifact

9/5/12 - Michelle Obama supports her husband

9/5/12 - Julian Castro gives keynote speech

9/5/12 - Romney is multiple choice

9/5/12 - Republicans and Democrats blame each other for the deficit (and the tea party too)

9/5/12 - Paul Ryan an hour off (he forgot OK?)

9/5/12 - The middle class vs. the 1%

9/5/12 - Democratic Disinformation from Charlotte

Anyone watching the Democratic National Convention on Tuesday night heard the number 4.5 million several times. "Despite incredible odds and united Republican opposition, our president took action, and now we've seen 4.5 million new jobs," San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro, the party's keynote speaker, said.

The number Castro cites is an accurate description of the growth of private-sector jobs since January 2010, when the long, steep slide in employment finally hit bottom. But while a total of 4.5 million jobs sounds great, it's not the whole picture.

Since the recovery started in July 2009, the working age population has grown by 213,000 people on average each month. Normally about 60 percent of the working age population is working. Thus, it would have been necessary to add about 128,000 jobs each month just to keep the share of the working age population employed from falling.

That means that a minimum of a little over 4.7 million jobs had to be created during the recovery just to keep us treading water. That growth wouldn't have done anything to make up for the huge job losses that we had suffered up to that point. In fact, only 2.7 million jobs have been added over that time period - 2 million jobs short of what we needed just to keep from falling further behind.  [also see 9/4/12 below]

9/4/12 - Michelle Obama speaks at the DNC (reactions)

9/4/12 - Are we better off under Obama?

[The New Republic] There can be little doubt that Americans are worse off, economically, than they were in 2008. Median household income has fallen since 2008, and (according to one study) it’s fallen even more steeply during the recovery than it did during the 2007-2009 recession. Back in 1980, Ronald Reagan tormented Jimmy Carter with the “misery index,” which was the unemployment rate plus the inflation rate. At the moment the misery index is 9.7 (8.3 percent unemployment plus 1.4 percent inflation), compared to 7.8 (7.8 percent unemployment plus 0 percent inflation) the month Obama took office. So by that venerable metric we’re worse off than we were four years ago. We just are.

Baker argues, and Krugman agrees, that reporters who ask, “Are Americans better off than they were four years ago?” are “not qualified to do their job” because it’s “a pointless question.”  It’s like asking a firefighter who has just extinguished a fire whether the house is in better shape than when he got there. That, Baker says, would be a “ridiculous question.” I don’t follow Baker’s logic, because the firefighter could say, “Of course the house is better, you moron. It's not on fire anymore!”

[The Atlantic]Compared with the summer of 2008, median household income has fallen, unemployed has increased, and the misery index (joblessness plus inflation) is up. Of course, this is starting our timers five months before Sen. Obama became President Obama. In the administration-adjusted count, in which "four years" equals "three years and eight months," the record is slightly different. The most dramatic increase in job losses that you see above happened before or during the changing of the White House. In fact, the unemployment rate is the same today as in Obama's first full month in office.

[another left-leaning response] “Yes, we’re better off — if only because George W. Bush is no longer president.”

Four years ago, the U.S. economy was dropping rapidly with no bottom in sight, owing to the irresponsible and incompetent policies pursued by Bush. Most Americans – indeed, many people around the world – were deeply frightened by the financial crisis. We were losing 750,000 jobs a month and seemed to be sinking into a global depression. By February 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had fallen to around 6500.

Today the economy is returning to growth, slowly but steadily. The stimulus and other Obama policies prevented far worse consequences that we might have faced without them, inadequate as they were to improve employment rapidly. Nevertheless, the U.S. economy has gained about four million jobs since Obama assumed office, while the Dow is around 13,000, or roughly double its three-year low.

To ask whether we are better off today is a misleading question, however. Given the economic conditions that Obama inherited – including a severe recession, a ruined banking system, and a burst housing bubble – there is no truthful economist who would predict that most households would be “better off” after only three years of recovery.

The more honest question is whether we are better off today than we would be if Bush – or Mitt Romney, who has offered his own critique of Obama’s actions – had been in power during those years.

Again, the answer is plain. There is absolutely no reason to believe that Bush, a rigid, simplistic right-wing ideologue, would have been adequate to deal with the crisis. Having reluctantly gone along with the Troubled Assets Relief Program to bail out the big banks, would he have implemented any stimulus spending as the recession grew worse in 2009? What would he have done about the failing auto industry?

As for Mitt Romney, we know what he would have done – which is nothing —  because he has told us so. No stimulus and no assistance to the auto industry, which would have meant the loss of millions more jobs and a freefall into depression; more tax cuts and more cuts in public services, which would have also have meant more jobs lost by teachers, firefighters, and cops.

[I dunno.  The Republicans seem to blame Bush too.]

[On the other side] Romney senior adviser Eric Fehrnstrom begged to differ and reacted on America’s Newsroom. “I think this Democratic convention could represent a whole new genre in television – the unreality show – things are not better off. Saying that things are better off is an insult to the 23 million Americans who are either out of work, or underemployed. Let’s just look at the facts. The unemployment rate is higher – it went from 7.8 percent when Obama took office to 8.3 percent today. Gas prices have doubled. Incomes have declined on average by about $4000 per household … I think the biggest challenge for president Obama at the convention is to explain why it is that he didn’t do what he said he was going to do.”

8/31/12 - Start with two numbers that are horrible for Obama. The first is his poll rating, which remains stubbornly below 50%. History suggests that incumbent presidents unable to break the 50% barrier at this stage end up serving just one term. The second figure, which goes a long way to explaining the first, is the statistic that puts US unemployment at 8.3%. Joblessness has not stood below 8% since the month Obama took office. Again, the historical record is brutal on sitting presidents seeking re-election against such a bleak economic backdrop. The last one to pull it off was Franklin Delano Roosevelt in 1936.

Viewed like that, the fact that Obama is even in a statistical dead-heat with Romney nationally is quite an achievement.

8/31/12 - Eastwooding (spur of the moment)

8/31/12 - why waste time watching anything?  Just check FactCheck.org and PolitiFact.

Mitt Romney avoids major falsehoods (applause) but...

"The majority of Americans now doubt that our children will have a better future."  (true, but not a new phenomenom)

Callista Gingrich "President Barack Obama has "weakened the respect for America abroad."
(Using the most reasonable yardstick -- comparing Bush’s last number to Obama’s most recent number -- the United States on average has higher favorability ratings in most countries)

President Obama was saying success "is the result of government," not "hard-working people," when he said, "If you've got a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen." (out of context and more authoritatively Jon Stewart)

Barack Obama “never even worked in business." (false)

8/29/12 - Paul Ryan speech at the RNC (transcript, MSNBC reaction)

President Barack Obama broke his promise to keep a Wisconsin GM plant from closing (the Janesville plant shut down before he took office)

Sally Kohn: Ryan’s speech was an apparent attempt to set the world record for the greatest number of blatant lies and misrepresentations slipped into a single political speech. (and a rebuttal to the rebuttal)

Condoleeza Rice calls for compassionate immigration laws

8/22/12 - MediScare

8/11/12 - Mitt Romney selects Paul Ryan as running mate

8/9/12 - A television ad by Priorities USA Action, the main super PAC backing President Obama, linking Mitt Romney to a woman's death continues to dog the Obama campaign. (It's a very heart-wrenching story, but it’s not accurate.)

8/3/12 - More reasons to vote for Mitt.

Not only will the U.S. will be energy independent by the end of his second term, the country will have a balanced budget!

No comments: