Amidst the dark skies of the Healthcare.gov
launch, some daylight may finally be emerging with respect to one of
the critical goals of the Affordable Care Act -- bending the cost curve
of America's expensive health care system.
According to a New York Times report earlier this week, the Congressional Budget Office
has quietly removed hundreds of billions of dollars from the projected
costs of Obamacare, primarily the result of an anticipated decrease in
the federal government's contribution to the Medicaid expansion program
along with the projected cost of the subsidy payments to those buying
private insurance policies on the healthcare exchanges.
Why the good news?
The more favorable projections are the direct result of the slowing
trend in the growth of health care spending over the past five years
leading to a slowdown in rising costs. While, 10 years ago, per-capita
spending on health care had been growing by an average annual rate of 5
percent, that number was dramatically cut to 1.8 percent during the
2007-2010 period and reduced even further to 1.3 percent in the years
following 2010.
Do we have Obamacare to thank for this highly successful "bending" of the cost curve?
Naturally, the answer depends upon who you ask as there simply is no definitive way of knowing -- yet.
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