Many
leading Republican officials, strategists and donors now say they fear
that Mr. Trump’s nomination would lead to an electoral wipeout, a
sweeping defeat that could undo some of the gains Republicans have made
in recent congressional, state and local elections. But in a party that
lacks a true leader or anything in the way of consensus — and with the
combative Mr. Trump certain to scorch anyone who takes him on — a fierce
dispute has arisen about what can be done to stop his candidacy and
whether anyone should even try.
Some
of the highest-ranking Republicans in Congress and some of the party’s
wealthiest and most generous donors have balked at trying to take down
Mr. Trump because they fear a public feud with the insult-spewing media
figure. Others warn that doing so might backfire at a time of soaring
anger toward political insiders.
That
has led to a standoff of sorts: Almost everyone in the party’s upper
echelons agrees something must be done, and almost no one is willing to
do it.
With his knack for offending the very constituencies Republicans have
struggled with in recent elections, women and minorities, Mr. Trump
could be a millstone on his party if he won the nomination. He is viewed
unfavorably by 64 percent of women and 74 percent of nonwhite voters,
according to a November ABC News/Washington Post poll.
Such unpopularity could not only doom his candidacy in November but
also threaten the party’s tenuous majority in the Senate, hand House
seats to the Democrats and imperil Republicans in a handful of
governor’s races.
Asked
about concerns over Mr. Trump’s potential influence on other contests,
his spokeswoman, Hope Hicks, said, “I think the facts indicate the exact
opposite is true,” and emailed a link
to a consumer marketing firm’s assertion that Mr. Trump would ensure
the highest general election turnout from Republicans, Democrats and
independents alike.
Yet
the clamor for a “Stop Trump” effort has become pervasive at the
Senate’s highest levels, where members up for re-election are realizing
that they can no longer dismiss as strictly theoretical the possibility
of his capturing the nomination. Mr. Trump’s persistent ranking at or
near the top of the polls is prompting urgent calls for an advertising
assault to try to sink his campaign.
“It
would be an utter, complete and total disaster,” Senator Lindsey Graham
of South Carolina, himself a presidential candidate who has tangled
with Mr. Trump, said of his rival’s effect on lower-tier Republican
candidates. “If you’re a xenophobic, race-baiting, religious bigot,
you’re going to have a hard time being president of the United States,
and you’re going to do irreparable damage to the party.”
Slowly,
some members of the party’s establishment are reckoning with the idea
of a Trump ticket. The National Republican Senatorial Committee has
cautioned its incumbents in blunt terms not to let themselves be linked
to him.
But
beyond sheer intimidation, some members of Congress worry that if the
party’s establishment went after Mr. Trump, it would only fuel his
anti-Washington appeal.
“I
think it would play into his hands and only validate him,” said Senator
Lamar Alexander, Republican of Tennessee. “A ‘Stop Trump’ effort
wouldn’t work, and it might help him.”
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